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Bracketology 2009 Presented by BetUS.Com!

betuslogoWednesday March 11, 2009 

Uh oh…Cleveland State went out and stole somebody’s bubble bid.  The Vikings upset Butler on their home floor, and with it have knocked somebody out of the field.  Who did they bump?  We won’t quite know until things shake out over the next few days, but for now, I’m bumping UNLV.  Cleveland State now owns upsets over both Butler and Syracuse (remember the Miracle shot?)

 

Also punching their ticket last night was North Dakota State, who erased a 10 point halftime deficit to beat Oakland with 3 seconds left.  The win surpasses the football teams’ victory over Minnesota in ’07 as the highlight in school history.  Montana State knocked off Weber State to set up a showdown with Portland State tonight for the Big Sky title.

 

Since there wasn’t a lot of movement, we should take second to note the race for the #1 seeds.  Pitt and UNC are all but locked for a top spot, and will likely end up top seeds even with 1st day losses in their tournaments.  One of the other seeds will go to either UConn or Louisville, likely to whoever advances furthest in the Big East Tournament.  The final top seed has a few contenders, including Oklahoma (who currently holds the spot), Michigan State, Memphis and Duke.  Should be a fun race to keep an eye on.

 

Plenty of action today.  The Big East Marathon kicks keeps on ticking, sans Georgetown and Cincinnati, who both lost Tuesday.  The Northeast Conference title is on the line as Mount St. Mary’s and Robert Morris battle for the second year in a row.  The action really kicks into overdrive tomorrow when the Big 6 conference tournaments kick into overdrive.

 

The committee regularly practices swapping teams one seed to either a) keep teams closer to home or b) avoid rematches.  Because of this the following teams were swapped:

          Gonzaga and LSU swapped 5/6 seeds to keep the Zags on the West Coast

          UCLA/Xavier swapped 5/6 seeds for the same reason.

          Texas A&M/Siena swapped 9/10 seeds to keep both teams closer to home.

          Boston College/Dayton swapped 9/10 seeds to avoid a conference rematch.

 

So with that in mind, here’s a look at the field as it stands today (click to enlarge, you may have to click twice to get the picture at full size)

bracket-3112 

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LAST 4 IN

South Carolina: The stat of 0 Top 50 wins is a killer, and could leave them Gamecocks out if they fail to impress in Tampa. 

Providence: An RPI of 70 surely doesn’t help their cause.  They’ll need make noise in NYC when they hit the court tomorrow if they hope to remain in the field.

Arizona:  The Cats must win a couple at Staples to make the field.

Minnesota:  The Gophers dropped a tough one at home to Michigan and now face a tough Northwestern team in the B10s 8/9 game on Thursday.

 

FIRST 4 OUT

UNLV:  The Rebels get bumped for now thanks to Cleveland State’s upset.  Their wins over Arizona and Louisville are impressive, and will likely help them return to the field with a solid showing in the MWC tourney.

Creighton:  The Cleveland State win didn’t help the Jays out at all, who need a lot to go right if they hope to make the cut.

St. Mary’s:  The Gaels didn’t get the impressive showing they needed, and Patty Mills failed to impress in his second game back.  They aren’t dumb up there in NoCal, as the Gaels scheduled Eastern Washington later this week for one last chance to state their case.

Florida/Auburn:  Yeah, I’m cheating, but so long as Florida doesn’t lay an egg against Arkansas on Thursday, these two will face off in the SEC nightcap on Friday.  Can anyone say play-in game?

 

The bReAkDoWn

BIG EAST (8)

Locked-In – UConn, Pitt, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova, Syracuse

Nearly Locked – West Virginia

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – Providence

Bubble, but OUT –

Big Ten (8)

Locked-In – Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois

Nearly Locked – Wisconsin

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – Ohio State, Penn State, Minnesota, Michigan

Bubble, but OUT –

Big 12 (6)

Locked-In – Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri

Nearly Locked –

Solidly In – Texas A&M

Bubble, but IN – Texas, Oklahoma State,

Bubble, but OUT – Kansas State

ACC (6)

Locked-In – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest, Florida State

Nearly Locked –

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – Boston College

Bubble, but OUT – Virginia Tech, Miami (Fl)

PAC 10 (5)

Locked-In – Washington, UCLA, Cal

Nearly Locked – Arizona State

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – Arizona

Bubble, but OUT – USC

Mountain West (3)

Locked-In – Utah

Nearly Locked – BYU

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – San Diego State

Bubble, but OUT – UNLV, New Mexico

SEC (3)

Locked-In– LSU

Nearly Locked – Tennessee

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN – South Carolina

Bubble, but OUT – Florida, Auburn, Kentucky

Atlantic 10 (2)

Locked-In – Xavier

Nearly Locked –

Solidly In – Dayton

Bubble, but IN –

Bubble, but OUT –Rhode Island, Temple

West Coast (1)

Locked-In – Gonzaga

Nearly Locked –

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN –

Bubble, but OUT – Saint Mary’s

The 1 Bidders:

(Teams are put where they would be without the protection of an automatic bid)

 

Bubble Busters (locked in but upset in Conference Tourney): Butler

 

Clinched Automatic Bids: Cornell (Ivy), East Tennessee State (Atlantic Sun), Morehead State (OVC), Radford (Big South), Northern Iowa (MVC), Siena (MAAC), Chattanooga (SoCon), Cleveland State (Horizon), Montana State (Big Sky), VCU (CAA), Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), North Dakota State (Summit)

 

Not Automatic yet, but still Locked-In – Memphis (C-USA)

Nearly Locked –

Solidly In –

Bubble, but IN –

Bubble, but OUT – Utah State (WAC),

Must Win Their Tournaments: Binghamton (America East), Bowling Green (MAC), Cal State Northridge (Big West), American (Patriot),Morgan State (MEAC), Stephen F Austin (Southland), Alabama State (SWAC)

 

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